Posted by
Bryn T. Jones on Sunday, October 26, 2008 1:12:27 PM
I have been checking the Zogby poll rather than the compilation of the various polls, ludicrous with the legit. Zogby seems fairly conservative and shows the battleground states far closer than the other polls. This, it seems to me, is closer to the historical precedent. A quick side note on that--If McCain carries Nevada (as the poll suggests), Missouri, Colorado, Ohio, North Carolina, Florida and picks up New Mexico and New Hampshire (both very possible), he wins.
Anyway, back to the Zogby national tracking poll. It strikes me as odd that the poll tightens progressively over the weekend, then expands during the week. I wonder if the calls for the polls are done during the work day. If so, the working folks who are more likely to vote Republican are around more on the weekend and affect the poll average.
It's just a theory, but sounds plausible. I think this race will probably tighten further this next week--though the MSM will likey find other polls that make it look wider. I don't think I've ever witnessed such bias in the media. I've seen bias, just not at such a fever pitch.