Posted by
Bryn T. Jones on Friday, October 24, 2008 1:06:43 PM
While the polls continue to shift, making the election as predictable as the stock market, Obama's syndicate is building a lavish stage on which to accept victory.
This demonstration of inevitability doomed Hillary in the primaries. I don't think Americans are all that taken with someone who has barely finished being a state senator, has not completed being a freshman U.S. senator and now presumes upon wildly fluctuating date that he will be accepting an electoral victory. In fact, I think most Americans look down on those smug enough to figure they have our vote already.
Quite frankly, the numbers are not all favorable for Obama. Of the states that Zogby has as toss-ups, most hold leads for McCain. One state, New Mexico, is in Obama's column, but shows a statistical dead heat. History is on McCain's side. Bush won his states in 2004 by wide margins, where Kerry won his by rather narrow margins. The reason, Swift-boat issues aside, is that Kerry represented a leftie wanting to tax, spend and re-distribute wealth. The game plan Obama proposes is identical.
Also, Clinton never won the popular vote. He prevailed because of Ross Perot. In other words, the country still rejects leftist/socialist politicians.
While many polls find Obama's lead growing to the double-digits, the more conservative polls, ones that have not fluctuated wildly, have the race in a dead heat. Looking at Zogby's state-by-state polls, I think this election is close right now with a lot, 11%-20%, that refuse to say or are claiming to be undecided.
Obama is trying what failed for him this past summer--Act like he has won already and that future will matterialize for him. Let's not forget, in early September everyone was writing how badly Obama had bungled his campaign. These stories are fickle.
Obama may just be setting the stage for his own concession speech.